BTC——
VCP

Volatility Cone Projection

ORIGINALVolatilityOVERLAY

Forward risk cone from the trailing return distribution: 90% and 50% quantile fans √h-scaled into the right margin plus the median drift path. Empirical quantiles, iid scaling — honest about both.

riskprojectionconedistribution

Inputs

LabelKindDefaultRange
Distribution Windowint20050–1000
Projection Barsint246–120

Plots

LabelKindColor
90% Conebandaccent2
50% Corebandaccent2
Median Pathline#8b90a8
ORIGINAL RESEARCH

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